Crude/XLE Spread



The spread between crude oil and the XLE etf has gotten to a fairly large level, the last time the spread was near these levels was during the Palestine, Israel flare up last year. Afterwords, crude oil crashed. I don't actively trade this market but I was reminded of the spread. If you trade stocks USO can be used for Crude Oil futures. Enjoy!

Recent Action in T-bills



Pretty self-explanatory, flight to quality in T-bills. Similar to the action in August, the question is, what do they know, what is new out there, what do they know that no one else knows?

Right or Left Brain

http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,22556281-661,00.html

I only see clockwise, let me know if anyone see's counter-clockwise. And I thought I was a logical person....

Website Recommendation

I normally try stay with investing/trading themes however this website was too good not to share with people:

www.hotchickswithdouchebags.com/

No nudity but some explicit language. I really salute the author!

CNMY - Cinemaya Media Group

I've been making some eye-popping returns on these micro-cap stock so I wanted to share an analysis on one that hasn't worked yet but I believe is really gonna rock.

CineMaya Media Group is the leading provider of high quality international South Asian media, entertainment and marketing services. A fast growing, vertically-integrated minority owned company, CineMaya Media Group (CMG) provides media solutions through its independently operated yet integrated subsidiaries.

India media and advertising, great business, nough said. How bout the funnymetals:

$6 Million in Mrkt Cap
$4.3 Million in REVS.
46% Revenue Growth YoY
0.01 EPS
(Here's the kicker)
According to their latest filing, $480,000K was a one time non-recurring expense. Therefore EPS should be much higher next reporting period.

http://www.pinksheets.com/otciq/ajax/showFinancialReportById?id=11795

Disclaimer: I have a position and continue to add.

My suggestion is put this on a watchlist and look for a breakout on high volume, then load the boat and ride the momo.

RIMM EARNINGS

EDIT: RIMM reported inline and boosted forecast for next qtr. RIMM right now is running from the 110 strike but still well within profit zone.

RIMM Call + Put calendar


RIMM Skew

Micro-Cap Stocks

I have positions in the following micro-cap stocks:

CPNLQ - Company stated the stock should retain about $1.94, creditors think its worth less, court will decide. At $1.60ish I think its a good R/R.

CNMY - CEO stated 40% rev growth, only lost 0.01 last qtr, they are going into audited quarterly's so I believe its management is on top of things, and its India related.

CPHI - China Pharma, based on growth rate, I think its about $4

DPDW - Deep Water Drilling, another huge growth stock breaking out technically

Disclaimer: I've been lazy and purchased many of these awhile ago, with the exception of CNMY, all are higher.

HELP!

To all the people who read this blog, excluding myself I think there are 2 or 3 of you, I need some help! I have some equation with 4 independent known variables and outputs some constant K that oscillates between 0-100. I have over 8800 readings, I have the independent variables and the K for each reading, however I do not know the equation.

I1(x) + I2(y) + I3(z) + I4(a) = K

I've tried systems of equations, regression analysis and it does not match the outputs closely enough across the time series. My friend suggested I try a Hidden Markov Model (Like I have any idea how to do that!) So any help in this area would be greatly appreciated and might even lead you to some profits.....